AEW Dynamite - New Year's Smash Results and Analysis | December 28, 2022

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Samoa Joe
Champion
11-1 (Overall: 14-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 57.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Wardlow
22-4 (Overall: 28-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 42.9%

This was the 3rd AEW TNT title defense by Samoa Joe since defeating Wardlow for the championship at Full Gear on November 19, 2022 39 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Wardlow has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
This was the 6th main event singles match of 2022 that Samoa Joe has participated in.
This was the 1st time Samoa Joe and Wardlow have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Samoa Joe has now won 6 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Samoa Joe had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Tag Team

Anna Jay and Tay Conti
3-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 38.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Willow Nightingale and Ruby Soho
1-1 (Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 61.5%

Upset win! Anna Jay and Tay Conti won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 38.5%!
This was the 1st time Anna Jay and Tay Conti have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Willow Nightingale and Ruby Soho in AEW.
With this win, Anna Jay and Tay Conti have a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2022 tag matches.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Anna Jay had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Three on Three Tag Team
Best of Seven - Falls Count Anywhere

Kenny Omega, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Elite
(Combined Overall: 37-20, Last 5: 10-5)
Win Probability: 41.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penta El Zero M, PAC and Rey Fenix
Death Triangle
(Combined Overall: 60-41, Last 5: 6-9)
Win Probability: 58.6%

Match 6 - Series 3-3

Underdog win! Kenny Omega, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 41.4%!

Men's Singles

Hook
14-0 (Overall: 16-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 88.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Baylum Lynx
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 11.9%

This was the 1st time Hook and Baylum Lynx have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Hook has now won 16 singles matches in a row.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Jon Moxley and Claudio Castagnoli
2-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 56.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Darius Martin and Daunte Martin
Top Flight
6-3 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 44.0%

This was the 1st time Jon Moxley and Claudio Castagnoli have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Darius Martin and Daunte Martin in AEW.
With this win, Jon Moxley and Claudio Castagnoli have now won 2 tag matches in a row.

Men's Singles

Bryan Danielson
15-7 (Overall: 24-9, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 54.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Ethan Page
10-6 (Overall: 14-6, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 45.5%

This was the 10th opening singles match of 2022 that Bryan Danielson has participated in.
This was the 1st time Bryan Danielson and Ethan Page have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Bryan Danielson has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Bryan Danielson had competed in a AEW match.

AEW Dynamite - New Year's Smash