NXT Results and Analysis | September 12, 2023

Top of the Card

Women's Singles
NXT Women's Championship

Becky Lynch
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 26.7%

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Tiffany Stratton
Champion
12-3 (Overall: 12-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 73.3%

This was the 4th NXT Women's title defense by Tiffany Stratton since winning the championship at Battleground on May 28, 2023 107 days ago.
This was the 1st time Becky Lynch has challenged for the NXT Women's championship.
Improbable win! Becky Lynch won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 26.7%!
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2023 that Becky Lynch has participated in.
This was the 1st time Becky Lynch and Tiffany Stratton have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 1392 days since Becky Lynch had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles
NXT Global Heritage International Tournament - Group B

Nathan Frazier
7-4 (Overall: 9-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 74.2%

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Akira Tozawa
0-3 (Overall: 0-3, Last 5: 0-3)
Win Probability: 25.8%

This was the 1st time Nathan Frazier and Akira Tozawa have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Nathan Frazier has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

Brutus Creed and Julius Creed
Creed Brothers
4-5 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 37.0%

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Malik Blade and Edris Enofe
6-5 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 63.0%

Upset win! Brutus Creed and Julius Creed won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 37.0%!
This was the 2nd time Brutus Creed and Julius Creed have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Malik Blade and Edris Enofe in NXT. Brutus Creed and Julius Creed lead the series 2-0. The most recent match was 455 days ago at NXT on June 14, 2022 where Brutus Creed and Julius Creed won.
With this win, Brutus Creed and Julius Creed have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 39 days since Malik Blade and 39 days since Edris Enofe had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
NXT Global Heritage International Tournament - Group A

Tyler Bate
8-5-1 (Overall: 11-5-1, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 57.4%

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Axiom
7-6-1 (Overall: 9-7-1, Last 5: 1-3-1)
Win Probability: 42.6%

Over the past year, Axiom has lost the 3rd most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (11 losses).
This was the 2nd time Tyler Bate and Axiom have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Tyler Bate leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 224 days ago at NXT on January 31, 2023 where Tyler Bate won.
With this win, Tyler Bate has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Women's Singles

Lyra Valkyria
9-4 (Overall: 11-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 88.6%

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Dana Brooke
1-3 (Overall: 1-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 11.4%

Over the past year, Lyra Valkyria has won the 3rd most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (11 wins).
This was the 1st time Lyra Valkyria and Dana Brooke have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Lyra Valkyria has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Lyra Valkyria had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Drew Gulak, Damon Kemp and Charlie Dempsey
(Combined Overall: 18-16, Last 5: 8-7)
Win Probability: 53.9%

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Josh Briggs, Brooks Jensen and Myles Borne
(Combined Overall: 8-20, Last 5: 3-8)
Win Probability: 46.1%

Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Drew Gulak, 32 days since Damon Kemp, 35 days since Josh Briggs, 35 days since Brooks Jensen and 39 days since Myles Borne had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Ilja Dragunov
8-3-1 (Overall: 9-3-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 70.0%

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Wes Lee
10-4 (Overall: 12-5, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 30.0%

Over the past year, Ilja Dragunov has won the 4th most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (10 wins).
This was the 3rd opening singles match of 2023 that Ilja Dragunov has participated in.
This was the 1st time Ilja Dragunov and Wes Lee have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Ilja Dragunov has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Wes Lee had competed in a NXT match.

NXT