NXT Results and Analysis | September 26, 2023

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Fatal Four Way

Trick Williams
3-5 (Overall: 5-7, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 18.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Dragon Lee
1-8 (Overall: 4-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 14.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tyler Bate
9-7-1 (Overall: 12-7-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 40.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Axiom
8-7-1 (Overall: 10-8-1, Last 5: 1-3-1)
Win Probability: 26.7%

Over the past year, Axiom has lost the 3rd most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (11 losses).
This was the 2nd main event singles match of 2023 that Trick Williams has participated in.
With this win, Trick Williams has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Dragon Lee had competed in a NXT match.

Women's Singles

Thea Hail
6-5 (Overall: 7-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 55.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Dani Palmer
0-1 (Overall: 5-7, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 44.1%

Over the past year, Thea Hail has won the 4th most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (10 wins).
This was the 1st time Thea Hail and Dani Palmer have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Thea Hail has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Thea Hail has a win percentage at or above 50% (6-5) in 2023 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Thea Hail had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles
Strap Match

Eddy Thorpe
11-4 (Overall: 11-4, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 33.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Chris Dijak
7-6 (Overall: 7-6, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 66.7%

Upset win! Eddy Thorpe won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 33.3%!
Over the past year, Eddy Thorpe has won the 3rd most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (11 wins).
This was the 3rd time Eddy Thorpe and Chris Dijak have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Chris Dijak leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 28 days ago at NXT on August 29, 2023 where Chris Dijak won.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Eddy Thorpe and 28 days since Chris Dijak had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Bronco Nima and Lucien Price
3-3 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 42.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Hank Walker and Tank Ledger
3-4 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 57.8%

Underdog win! Bronco Nima and Lucien Price won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 42.2%!
This was the 2nd time Bronco Nima and Lucien Price have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Hank Walker and Tank Ledger in NXT. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 116 days ago at Level Up on June 2, 2023 where Hank Walker and Tank Ledger won.
With this win, Bronco Nima and Lucien Price have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Bronco Nima and Lucien Price have a win percentage at or above 50% (3-3) in 2023 tag matches.
Prior to this match it had been 32 days since Hank Walker and 32 days since Tank Ledger had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles

Baron Corbin
4-1-2 (Overall: 4-1-2, Last 5: 2-1-2)
Win Probability: 77.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Josh Briggs
0-1 (Overall: 4-7, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 22.9%

This was the 1st time Baron Corbin and Josh Briggs have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Baron Corbin has a win percentage at or above 50% (4-1-2) in 2023 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 35 days since Baron Corbin had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles

Trick Williams
3-5 (Overall: 5-7, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 47.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Joe Gacy
4-4 (Overall: 4-7, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 52.9%

Underdog win! Trick Williams won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.1%!
This was the 1st time Trick Williams and Joe Gacy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Trick Williams has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 63 days since Joe Gacy had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
NXT Global Heritage International Tournament Final

Pete Dunne
3-0-1 (Overall: 3-0-1, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 49.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Joe Coffey
7-4-1 (Overall: 9-5-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.7%

Underdog win! Pete Dunne won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 49.3%!
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2023 that Pete Dunne has participated in.
This was the 1st time Pete Dunne and Joe Coffey have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Pete Dunne has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Pete Dunne has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-0-1) in 2023 singles matches.

Date	Sep 26	Total matches	7
Men's matches	6	Women's matches	1
Singles matches	6	Tag Team matches	1
Trio Matches	0	Other Matches	0

NXT

Summary

Matches