AEW WrestleDream Results and Analysis | October 12, 2024

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW Championship

Jon Moxley
9-1 (Overall: 17-2-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 36.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bryan Danielson
Champion
15-3 (Overall: 29-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 63.2%

This was the 4th AEW title defense by Bryan Danielson since defeating Swerve Strickland for the championship at All In on August 25, 2024 48 days ago.
This was the 5th time Jon Moxley has challenged for the AEW championship.
Upset win! Jon Moxley won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 36.8%!
This was the 3rd main event singles match of 2024 that Jon Moxley has participated in.
This was the 3rd time Jon Moxley and Bryan Danielson have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jon Moxley leads the series 3-0. The most recent match was 752 days ago at AEW Dynamite on September 21, 2022 where Jon Moxley won.
With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Jon Moxley has a win percentage at or above 90% (9-1) in 2024 singles matches.

Men's Singles
World Championship

Mark Briscoe
Champion
4-4 (Overall: 17-10, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 47.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Chris Jericho
10-6 (Overall: 17-10, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 52.4%

This was the 2nd time Chris Jericho has challenged for the World championship.
Underdog win! Mark Briscoe won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.6%!
This was the 1st time Mark Briscoe and Chris Jericho have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Mark Briscoe has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Mark Briscoe has a win percentage at or above 50% (4-4) in 2024 singles matches.

Men's Tag Team
AEW Tag Team Championship

Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Young Bucks • The Elite • SuperKliq
Champions
12-2 (Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 49.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Marq Quen and Isiah Kassidy
Private Party • Matt Hardy Family Office
6-12 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.5%

Underdog win! Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 49.5%!
This was the 4th time Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Marq Quen and Isiah Kassidy in AEW. Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson lead the series 3-1. The most recent match was 199 days ago at AEW Dynamite on March 27, 2024 where Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won.
With this win, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson have now won 5 tag matches in a row.

Men's Singles

Darby Allin
7-4 (Overall: 15-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 48.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Brody King
2-2 (Overall: 14-5-1, Last 5: 2-2-1)
Win Probability: 51.6%

Underdog win! Darby Allin won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.4%!
This was the 3rd time Darby Allin and Brody King have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Darby Allin leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 794 days ago at AEW Dynamite on August 10, 2022 where Darby Allin won.
With this win, Darby Allin has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Singles
2 out of 3 Falls

Hologram
7-0 (Overall: 13-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 74.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

The Beast Mortos
1-9 (Overall: 4-15, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 25.4%

This was the 2nd time Hologram and The Beast Mortos have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Hologram leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 77 days ago at AEW Collision on July 27, 2024 where Hologram won.
With this win, Hologram has now won 7 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team Handicap
AEW International Championship

Konosuke Takeshita

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Ricochet and Will Ospreay
Champions

Milestone: This match was the 75th match for Konosuke Takeshita in AEW.

Men's Singles
AEW TNT Championship

Jungle Boy
Champion
9-1 (Overall: 11-5, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 48.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Katsuyori Shibata
5-5 (Overall: 15-6, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 51.6%

This was the 6th AEW TNT title defense by Jungle Boy since winning the championship at Forbidden Door on June 30, 2024 104 days ago.
This was the 1st time Katsuyori Shibata has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
Underdog win! Jungle Boy won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.4%!
This was the 1st time Jungle Boy and Katsuyori Shibata have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Jungle Boy has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Jungle Boy has a win percentage at or above 90% (9-1) in 2024 singles matches.

Women's Singles
AEW Women's Championship

Mariah May
Champion
1-0 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 42.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Willow Nightingale
13-5 (Overall: 20-7, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 57.6%

This was the 3rd AEW Women's title defense by Mariah May since winning the championship at All In on August 25, 2024 48 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Willow Nightingale has challenged for the AEW Women's championship.
Underdog win! Mariah May won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 42.4%!
Over the past year, Mariah May has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (20 wins).
This was the 2nd time Mariah May and Willow Nightingale have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Mariah May leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 94 days ago at AEW Dynamite on July 10, 2024 where Mariah May won.
With this win, Mariah May has now won 11 singles matches in a row.

Men's Singles

Jay White
7-4 (Overall: 14-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 45.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Adam Page
11-5-1 (Overall: 11-7-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 54.9%

Underdog win! Jay White won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 45.1%!
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2024 that Jay White has participated in.
This was the 3rd time Jay White and Adam Page have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jay White leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 98 days ago at AEW Collision on July 6, 2024 where Adam Page won.
With this win, Jay White has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Orange Cassidy, Kyle O'Reilly, Turbo Floyd and Truth Magnum
(Combined Overall: 68-54, Last 5: 14-6)
Win Probability: 71.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tony Nese, Ariya Daivari, Alex Reynolds and John Silver
(Combined Overall: 4-42, Last 5: 0-20)
Win Probability: 28.7%

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Max Caster and Anthony Bowens
The Acclaimed
6-5-1 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 77.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mansoor and Mace
1-5 (Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 22.1%

This was the 1st time Max Caster and Anthony Bowens have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Mansoor and Mace in AEW.
With this win, Max Caster and Anthony Bowens have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Max Caster and Anthony Bowens have a win percentage at or above 50% (6-5-1) in 2024 tag matches.

Women's Singles

Anna Jay
3-9 (Overall: 4-11, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 82.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Harley Cameron
0-10 (Overall: 1-12, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 17.4%

Over the past year, Harley Cameron has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (10 losses).
This was the 1st time Anna Jay and Harley Cameron have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Anna Jay has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Singles
World TV Championship

Brian Cage
3-8 (Overall: 10-17, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 34.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Atlantis Jr.
Champion
0-2 (Overall: 0-2, Last 5: 0-2)
Win Probability: 65.4%

This was the 2nd time Brian Cage has challenged for the World TV championship.
Upset win! Brian Cage won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 34.6%!
This was the 1st time Brian Cage and Atlantis Jr. have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Date	Oct 12	Total matches	13
Men's matches	11	Women's matches	2
Singles matches	9	Tag Team matches	3
Trio Matches	0	Other Matches	1

AEW WrestleDream

Summary

Matches