AEW Collision Results and Analysis | July 31, 2025

100
▴+3 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles
Street Fight
AEW TNT Championship

Kyle Fletcher
10-4 (Overall: 17-7, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Dustin Rhodes
Champion
4-2 (Overall: 6-3, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 52.4%

This was the 2nd AEW TNT title defense by Dustin Rhodes since winning the championship at All In on July 12, 2025 19 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Kyle Fletcher has challenged for the AEW TNT championship.
Underdog win! Kyle Fletcher won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.6%!
Over the past year, Kyle Fletcher has won the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (19 wins).
This was the 5th main event singles match of 2025 that Kyle Fletcher has participated in.
This was the 1st time Kyle Fletcher and Dustin Rhodes have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Kyle Fletcher has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

Darius Martin and Daunte Martin
Top Flight
3-4 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 50.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Shawn Dean and Carlie Bravo
0-2 (Last 5: 0-3)
Win Probability: 50.0%

This was the 1st time Darius Martin and Daunte Martin have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Shawn Dean and Carlie Bravo in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 61 days since Darius Martin and 61 days since Daunte Martin had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Rush
4-1 (Overall: 7-3, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 92.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Max Caster
0-16 (Overall: 0-17, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 7.4%

Over the past year, Max Caster has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (17 losses).
This was the 2nd time Rush and Max Caster have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Rush leads the series 2-0. The most recent match was 180 days ago at AEW Collision on February 1, 2025 where Rush won.
With this win, Rush has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Rush has a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2025 singles matches.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler
FTR • The Pinnacle
9-2 (Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 62.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Austin Gunn and Juice Robinson
Bullet Club Gold
1-1 (Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 37.1%

This was the 1st time Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Austin Gunn and Juice Robinson in AEW.
With this win, Dax Harwood and Cash Wheeler have now won 7 tag matches in a row.

Women's Singles

Thekla
4-2 (Overall: 6-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 82.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Willow Nightingale
2-6 (Overall: 7-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 17.2%

Over the past year, Willow Nightingale has lost the 4th most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (8 losses).
This was the 1st time Thekla and Willow Nightingale have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Thekla has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Women's Singles

Kris Statlander
5-6 (Overall: 7-7, Last 5: 3-2)

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lina Cross
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)

Over the past year, Kris Statlander has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (14 wins).

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Bandido and Brody King
1-1 (Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 36.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kaun and Toa Liona
The Gates of Agony
4-5 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 63.5%

Upset win! Bandido and Brody King won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 36.5%!
This was the 2nd opening tag match of 2025 that Bandido and Brody King have participated in.
This was the 1st time Bandido and Brody King have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Kaun and Toa Liona in AEW.

AEW Collision