AEW Collision Results and Analysis | August 16, 2025

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Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Nigel McGuinness
1-0 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 1-3)
Win Probability: 22.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lee Moriarty
0-4 (Overall: 1-8, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 18.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Daniel Garcia
5-6-2 (Overall: 8-13-2, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 31.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Hechicero
1-4 (Overall: 4-10, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 27.3%

This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Nigel McGuinness has participated in.
Prior to this match it had been 83 days since Nigel McGuinness, 21 days since Lee Moriarty and 35 days since Daniel Garcia had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Juice Robinson
1-2 (Overall: 2-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 18.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bryan Keith
0-3 (Overall: 4-11, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 81.8%

Impossible win! Juice Robinson won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 18.2%!
This was the 1st time Juice Robinson and Bryan Keith have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Bryan Keith had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Kris Statlander
6-6 (Overall: 8-7, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 36.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penelope Ford
0-6 (Overall: 3-8, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 24.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Anna Jay
1-3 (Overall: 3-6, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 19.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Julia Hart
4-8 (Overall: 8-10, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 20.7%

Over the past year, Kris Statlander has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (15 wins).
With this win, Kris Statlander has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Kris Statlander has a win percentage at or above 50% (6-6) in 2025 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 56 days since Penelope Ford and 42 days since Anna Jay had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Tag Team

Kyle O'Reilly and Roderick Strong
5-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 82.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Lee Johnson and Blake Christian
0-4 (Last 5: 0-4)
Win Probability: 17.2%

Milestone: This match was the 25th match for Blake Christian in AEW.
This was the 1st time Kyle O'Reilly and Roderick Strong have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Lee Johnson and Blake Christian in AEW.
With this win, Kyle O'Reilly and Roderick Strong have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Kyle O'Reilly, 35 days since Roderick Strong, 52 days since Lee Johnson and 38 days since Blake Christian had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles

Ricochet
11-7 (Overall: 15-9, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 78.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Ace Austin
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 21.6%

Over the past year, Ricochet has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (21 wins).
This was the 1st time Ricochet and Ace Austin have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Ricochet has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Men's Tag Team

Jon Moxley and Wheeler YUTA
Blackpool Combat Club
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 55.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mike Bailey and Kevin Knight
2-4 (Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 44.6%

Milestone: This match was the 25th match for Mike Bailey in AEW.
This was the 1st opening tag match of 2025 that Jon Moxley and Wheeler YUTA have participated in.
This was the 1st time Jon Moxley and Wheeler YUTA have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Mike Bailey and Kevin Knight in AEW.
With this win, Jon Moxley and Wheeler YUTA have now won 3 tag matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 24 days since Wheeler YUTA had competed in a AEW match.

Date	Aug 16	Total matches	6
Men's matches	5	Women's matches	1
Singles matches	4	Tag Team matches	2
Trio Matches	0	Other Matches	0

AEW Collision

Summary

Matches