AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | March 12, 2025

100
▴+4 FACES

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Orange Cassidy
2-2 (Overall: 4-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 43.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Hechicero
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 56.4%

Underdog win! Orange Cassidy won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 43.6%!
This was the 3rd main event singles match of 2025 that Orange Cassidy has participated in.
This was the 1st time Orange Cassidy and Hechicero have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Orange Cassidy has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2025 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 102 days since Hechicero had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Singles

Willow Nightingale
1-1 (Overall: 1-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 65.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penelope Ford
0-3 (Overall: 1-3, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 34.6%

Over the past year, Willow Nightingale has won the 5th most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (14 wins).
This was the 3rd time Willow Nightingale and Penelope Ford have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Penelope Ford leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 908 days ago at AEW Rampage on September 16, 2022 where Penelope Ford won.
Prior to this match it had been 56 days since Willow Nightingale had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles

Konosuke Takeshita
3-1 (Overall: 4-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 76.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Max Caster
0-5 (Overall: 0-6, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 23.5%

Over the past year, Konosuke Takeshita has won the 5th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (15 wins).
This was the 1st time Konosuke Takeshita and Max Caster have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Konosuke Takeshita has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2025 singles matches.

Men's Singles

Mike Bailey
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 50.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

The Beast Mortos
1-3 (Overall: 2-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 50.0%

Over the past year, The Beast Mortos has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (19 losses).
This was the 1st time Mike Bailey and The Beast Mortos have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Will Hobbs and Hologram
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 69.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Brian Cage and Dralistico
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 30.9%

This was the 1st time Will Hobbs and Hologram have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Brian Cage and Dralistico in AEW.

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Samoa Joe, Hook and Katsuyori Shibata
(Combined Overall: 16-2, Last 5: 14-1)

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Vinny Pacifico, Gabriel Aeros and Eli Theseus
(Combined Overall: 0-3, Last 5: 0-3)

AEW Dynamite