AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | May 7, 2025

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Samoa Joe
2-0 (Overall: 10-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 77.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Claudio Castagnoli
1-3 (Overall: 6-7, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 22.2%

This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Samoa Joe has participated in.
This was the 1st time Samoa Joe and Claudio Castagnoli have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Samoa Joe has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 20 days since Claudio Castagnoli had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Kazuchika Okada
5-0 (Overall: 7-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 84.9%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kevin Knight
2-4 (Overall: 4-6, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 15.1%

Over the past year, Kazuchika Okada has won the 3rd most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 1st time Kazuchika Okada and Kevin Knight have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Kazuchika Okada has now won 9 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Three on Three Tag Team

Ricochet, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
(Combined Overall: 13-5, Last 5: 8-7)
Win Probability: 40.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mark Briscoe, Mike Bailey and Swerve Strickland
(Combined Overall: 15-19, Last 5: 6-9)
Win Probability: 60.0%

Underdog win! Ricochet, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 40.0%!

Men's Singles
World TV Championship

Nick Wayne
Champion
3-1 (Overall: 4-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 80.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Rhino
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 19.5%

This was the 2nd World TV title defense by Nick Wayne since defeating Komander for the championship at AEW Collision on April 17, 2025 20 days ago.
This was the 1st time Rhino has challenged for the World TV championship.
This was the 1st time Nick Wayne and Rhino have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Nick Wayne has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Nick Wayne has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2025 singles matches.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Singles

Toni Storm
11-0 (Overall: 11-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 55.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Thunder Rosa
1-3 (Overall: 1-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 4.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Penelope Ford
0-5 (Overall: 1-5, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 8.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Anna Jay
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 31.9%

Milestone: This match was the 100th match for Thunder Rosa in AEW.
Over the past year, Toni Storm has won the most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (25 wins).
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2025 that Toni Storm has participated in.
With this win, Toni Storm has now won 15 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Thunder Rosa and 35 days since Penelope Ford had competed in a AEW match.

AEW Dynamite