AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | July 9, 2025

100
▴+3 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Jon Moxley, Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Claudio Castagnoli
(Combined Overall: 32-19, Last 5: 13-7)
Win Probability: 41.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Adam Page, Will Hobbs, Will Ospreay and Katsuyori Shibata
(Combined Overall: 51-17-1, Last 5: 12-7-1)
Win Probability: 58.7%

Underdog win! Jon Moxley, Nick Jackson, Matt Jackson and Claudio Castagnoli won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 41.3%!
Prior to this match it had been 35 days since Claudio Castagnoli, 21 days since Will Hobbs and 21 days since Katsuyori Shibata had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Samoa Joe
3-1 (Overall: 14-2, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 65.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Wheeler YUTA
2-5 (Overall: 7-10, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 35.0%

This was the 1st time Samoa Joe and Wheeler YUTA have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Samoa Joe has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2025 singles matches.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Samoa Joe and 21 days since Wheeler YUTA had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Megan Bayne
9-2 (Overall: 14-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 41.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Tay Conti
0-1 (Overall: 1-3, Last 5: 1-3)
Win Probability: 13.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Queen Aminata
1-8 (Overall: 1-10, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 6.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Thekla
2-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 39.8%

Over the past year, Queen Aminata has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (14 losses).
With this win, Megan Bayne has now won 5 singles matches in a row.

Men's Singles

Ricochet
8-5 (Overall: 12-7, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 83.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Blake Christian
0-7 (Overall: 0-10, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 16.7%

Over the past year, Ricochet has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (18 wins).
This was the 1st time Ricochet and Blake Christian have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher
3-1 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 55.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Bandido and Brody King
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 44.2%

This was the 3rd opening tag match of 2025 that Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher have participated in.
This was the 1st time Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Bandido and Brody King in AEW.
With this win, Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Konosuke Takeshita and Kyle Fletcher have a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2025 tag matches.

AEW Dynamite