AEW Dynamite - Winter is Coming Results and Analysis | December 10, 2025

100
▴+1 FACES

Top of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW Championship

Samoa Joe
Champion
6-2 (Overall: 26-4, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 52.1%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Eddie Kingston
4-1 (Overall: 7-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 47.9%

This was the 1st AEW title defense by Samoa Joe since defeating Adam Page for the championship at Full Gear on November 22, 2025 18 days ago.
This was the 3rd time Eddie Kingston has challenged for the AEW championship.
This was the 6th main event singles match of 2025 that Samoa Joe has participated in.
This was the 1st time Samoa Joe and Eddie Kingston have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Samoa Joe has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Samoa Joe has a win percentage at or above 75% (6-2) in 2025 singles matches.

Men's Singles
Continental Classic

Mike Bailey
5-5 (Overall: 18-21, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 14.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kyle Fletcher
19-7 (Overall: 29-12, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 85.7%

Impossible win! Mike Bailey won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 14.3%!
This was the 1st time Mike Bailey and Kyle Fletcher have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Mike Bailey has a win percentage at or above 50% (5-5) in 2025 singles matches.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team
Tornado Tag

Adam Page and Swerve Strickland
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 55.0%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Will Hobbs and Katsuyori Shibata
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 45.0%

This was the 1st time Adam Page and Swerve Strickland have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Will Hobbs and Katsuyori Shibata in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 108 days since Swerve Strickland had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles
Continental Classic

Kazuchika Okada
18-0 (Overall: 23-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 73.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Jungle Boy
0-1 (Overall: 4-3, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 26.4%

Over the past year, Kazuchika Okada has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (22 wins).
This was the 1st time Kazuchika Okada and Jungle Boy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
With this win, Kazuchika Okada has now won 22 singles matches in a row.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Tag Team
AEW Women's Tag Team Championship

Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron
3-2 (Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 35.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa
4-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.4%

Milestone: This match was the 50th match for Harley Cameron in AEW.
Upset win! Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 35.6%!
This was the 1st opening tag match of 2025 that Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron have participated in.
This was the 1st time Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Toni Storm and Mina Shirakawa in AEW.
With this win, Willow Nightingale and Harley Cameron have a win percentage at or above 50% (3-2) in 2025 tag matches.

AEW Dynamite - Winter is Coming