NXT Results and Analysis | March 4, 2025

Top of the Card

Men's Singles
NXT Women's North American Championship

Shawn Spears
2-0 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 40.3%

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Tony D'Angelo
Champion
2-1 (Overall: 2-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 59.7%

This was the 1st time Shawn Spears has challenged for the NXT Women's North American championship.
Underdog win! Shawn Spears won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 40.3%!
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Shawn Spears has participated in.
This was the 2nd time Shawn Spears and Tony D'Angelo have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 98 days ago at NXT on November 26, 2024 where Tony D'Angelo won.
With this win, Shawn Spears has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Tony D'Angelo had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles

Trick Williams
1-3 (Overall: 1-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 58.3%

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Kale Dixon
0-1 (Overall: 0-1, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 41.7%

Over the past year, Trick Williams has won the 5th most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (10 wins).
This was the 1st time Trick Williams and Kale Dixon have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 67 days since Kale Dixon had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles

Jordynne Grace
1-0 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.1%

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Cora Jade
2-3 (Overall: 2-4, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 35.9%

This was the 1st time Jordynne Grace and Cora Jade have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Jordynne Grace has now won 2 singles matches in a row.

Women's Singles

Jaida Parker
2-2 (Overall: 2-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 77.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Kelani Jordan
0-5 (Overall: 0-5, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 22.2%

Over the past year, Jaida Parker has won the most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (15 wins).
This was the 1st time Jaida Parker and Kelani Jordan have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Jaida Parker has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Jaida Parker has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2025 singles matches.

Bottom of the Card

Women's Tag Team

Sol Ruca and Zaria
3-0 (Last 5: 3-1)
Win Probability: 63.0%

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Chelsea Green and Doudrop
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 37.0%

This was the 1st opening tag match of 2025 that Sol Ruca and Zaria have participated in.
This was the 1st time Sol Ruca and Zaria have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Chelsea Green and Doudrop in NXT.
With this win, Sol Ruca and Zaria have now won 3 tag matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 175 days since Chelsea Green and 490 days since Doudrop had competed in a NXT match.

NXT