NXT Results and Analysis | March 11, 2025

Top of the Card

Women's Singles
NXT Women's Championship

Stephanie Vaquer
5-1 (Overall: 6-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 47.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Giulia
Champion
2-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 52.7%

This was the 2nd NXT Women's title defense by Giulia since defeating Roxanne Perez for the championship at NXT on January 7, 2025 63 days ago.
This was the 1st time Stephanie Vaquer has challenged for the NXT Women's championship.
Underdog win! Stephanie Vaquer won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 47.3%!
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2025 that Stephanie Vaquer has participated in.
This was the 1st time Stephanie Vaquer and Giulia have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Stephanie Vaquer has now won 4 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Giulia had competed in a NXT match.

Men's Singles
Street Fight

Je'Von Evans
1-1 (Overall: 2-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 40.4%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Ethan Page
3-1 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 59.6%

Underdog win! Je'Von Evans won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 40.4%!
Over the past year, Je'Von Evans has won the 5th most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (10 wins).
This was the 3rd time Je'Von Evans and Ethan Page have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Ethan Page leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 24 days ago at Vengeance Day on February 15, 2025 where Ethan Page won.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
World Championship

Oba Femi
Champion
4-0 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 55.6%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Moose
1-1 (Overall: 1-1, Last 5: 1-1)
Win Probability: 44.4%

This was the 1st time Moose has challenged for the World championship.
Over the past year, Oba Femi has won the most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 1st time Oba Femi and Moose have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Oba Femi has now won 5 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 24 days since Oba Femi had competed in a NXT match.

Women's Singles

Jordynne Grace
2-0 (Overall: 3-0, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 70.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Roxanne Perez
0-3 (Overall: 0-4, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 29.8%

This was the 2nd time Jordynne Grace and Roxanne Perez have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. The series is tied 1-1. The most recent match was 275 days ago at Battleground on June 9, 2024 where Roxanne Perez won.
With this win, Jordynne Grace has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 24 days since Roxanne Perez had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team
Tag Team Championship

Matt Hardy and Jeff Hardy
Champions
2-0 (Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 43.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Nathan Frazier and Axiom
2-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 56.3%

Underdog win! Matt Hardy and Jeff Hardy won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 43.8%!
This was the 1st opening tag match of 2025 that Matt Hardy and Jeff Hardy have participated in.
This was the 1st time Matt Hardy and Jeff Hardy have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Nathan Frazier and Axiom in NXT.
With this win, Matt Hardy and Jeff Hardy have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
Prior to this match it had been 24 days since Nathan Frazier and 24 days since Axiom had competed in a NXT match.

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