Summary
DateMar 25Total matches6
Men's matches4Women's matches1
Singles matches4Tag Team matches1
Trio Matches1Other Matches0

This episode of AEW Dynamite took place on March 25, 2026 and featured 6 matches on the card.  All of the matches ended by pinfall, submission, or the rules stipulated by the match.  Only one championship, the AEW Women's Championship, was defended on the card.

The matches featured 18 wrestlers and 2 tag teams, highlighted by Thekla, Darby Allin, David Finlay, Clark Connors and Mike Bailey.


Predictability


100
100
83

Mostly Predictable
(5 of 6 Matches)

Competitions


4
100
4

2
100
1

Usual Singles
Less Tag

Diversity


5
100
4

1
100
1

Less Mens
Usual Womens


Balance of Power

100
EVEN

Wins were balanced between Faces and Heels.
(3 Face wins to 3 Heel wins in 6 matches)

Matches

Top of the Card
Men's Singles
No Countout
Darby Allin
5-0 (Overall: 7-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 64.3%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Rush
0-1 (Overall: 1-2, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 35.7%
  • This was the 2nd main event singles match of 2026 that Darby Allin has participated in.
  • This was the 1st time Darby Allin and Rush have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Darby Allin has now won 6 singles matches in a row.

Women's Singles
AEW Women's Championship
Thekla
Champion
5-1 (Overall: 7-1, Last 5: 5-0)
Win Probability: 59.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Mina Shirakawa
3-3 (Overall: 4-5, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 40.9%

Middle of the Card
Men's Tag Team
David Finlay and Clark Connors
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Orange Cassidy and Roderick Strong
1-1 (Last 5: 1-2)

Men's Singles
Mike Bailey
2-2 (Overall: 6-5, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 74.1%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Rocky Romero
0-2 (Overall: 0-5, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 25.9%
  • This was the 1st time Mike Bailey and Rocky Romero have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
  • With this win, Mike Bailey has now won 2 singles matches in a row.
  • With this win, Mike Bailey has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2026 singles matches.

Bottom of the Card
Three on Three Tag Team
Jon Moxley, Daniel Garcia and Marina Shafir
(Combined Overall: 21-8-1, Last 5: 11-4)
Win Probability: 75.0%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Darius Martin, Daunte Martin and Zayda Steel
(Combined Overall: 0-14, Last 5: 0-14)
Win Probability: 25.0%

Men's Singles
Kenny Omega
3-2 (Overall: 3-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 37.5%
━━━━━━━━━━┥   vs   ┝━━━━━━━━━━
Swerve Strickland
4-2 (Overall: 5-2, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 62.5%


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Last updated Thursday March 26 11:15 AM UTC