AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | September 30, 2026

100
▴+1 FACES

Top of the Card

Men's Five on Five Tag Team

Daniel Garcia, Wheeler YUTA, Bryan Danielson, Claudio Castagnoli and Gabe Kidd
(Combined Overall: 12-10, Last 5: 10-6)
Win Probability: 54.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Wardlow, Lance Archer, Josh Alexander, Mark Davis and Jake Doyle
(Combined Overall: 22-42, Last 5: 0-21)
Win Probability: 45.2%

Prior to this match it had been 718 days since Bryan Danielson, 931 days since Wardlow, 42 days since Lance Archer, 21 days since Josh Alexander and 21 days since Mark Davis had competed in a AEW match.

Women's Three on Three Tag Team

Thunder Rosa, Marina Shafir and Hyan
(Combined Overall: 12-20, Last 5: 5-10)
Win Probability: 31.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Britt Baker, Mercedes Mone and Persephone
(Combined Overall: 18-11, Last 5: 8-4)
Win Probability: 68.2%

Upset win! Thunder Rosa, Marina Shafir and Hyan won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 31.8%!
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Thunder Rosa, 98 days since Marina Shafir, 21 days since Britt Baker and 31 days since Mercedes Mone had competed in a AEW match.

Middle of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW Championship

Will Ospreay
Champion
16-2 (Overall: 24-4, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 70.8%

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Ricochet
2-3 (Overall: 9-13, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 29.2%

This was the 2nd AEW title defense by Will Ospreay since defeating Kenny Omega for the championship at All In on August 30, 2026 31 days ago.
This was the 1st time Ricochet has challenged for the AEW championship.
Over the past year, Will Ospreay has won the 4th most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (16 wins).
This was the 3rd time Will Ospreay and Ricochet have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Will Ospreay leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 648 days ago at AEW Collision on December 21, 2024 where Ricochet won.
With this win, Will Ospreay has now won 13 singles matches in a row.

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Kenny Omega, Adam Page, Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
(Combined Overall: 71-26, Last 5: 13-7)
Win Probability: 56.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Trent, Rocky Romero, Kevin Knight and Kyle Fletcher
(Combined Overall: 43-37, Last 5: 6-14)
Win Probability: 43.2%

Prior to this match it had been 31 days since Kenny Omega, 81 days since Trent and 35 days since Rocky Romero had competed in a AEW match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
AEW Continental Championship

Jon Moxley
Champion
23-1-2 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 69.2%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Orange Cassidy
2-5 (Overall: 3-0, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 30.8%

This was the 2nd time Orange Cassidy has challenged for the AEW Continental championship.
Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (29 wins).
This was the 10th opening singles match of 2026 that Jon Moxley has participated in.
This was the 5th time Jon Moxley and Orange Cassidy have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jon Moxley leads the series 4-1. The most recent match was 279 days ago at AEW Collision on December 25, 2025 where Jon Moxley won.

AEW Dynamite