AEW Dynamite Results and Analysis | October 21, 2026

100
▴+1 HEELS

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Ilja Dragunov
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 30.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Mike Bailey
9-13 (Overall: 17-18, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 69.2%

Upset win! Ilja Dragunov won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 30.8%!
Over the past year, Mike Bailey has lost the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (17 losses).
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2026 that Ilja Dragunov has participated in.
This was the 1st time Ilja Dragunov and Mike Bailey have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.

Women's Singles

Queen Aminata
1-0 (Overall: 5-6, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 48.7%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Maya World
6-6 (Overall: 7-14, Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 51.3%

Underdog win! Queen Aminata won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.7%!
Over the past year, Maya World has lost the 2nd most number of matches in AEW Women's singles competition (6 losses).
This was the 1st time Queen Aminata and Maya World have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW.
Prior to this match it had been 42 days since Maya World had competed in a AEW match.

Men's Singles

Jon Moxley
26-1-2 (Overall: 2-0, Last 5: 2-0)
Win Probability: 77.6%

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Roderick Strong
0-4 (Overall: 15-13, Last 5: 1-4)
Win Probability: 22.4%

Over the past year, Jon Moxley has won the most number of matches in AEW Men's singles competition (31 wins).
This was the 4th time Jon Moxley and Roderick Strong have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in AEW. Jon Moxley leads the series 3-1. The most recent match was 308 days ago at AEW Dynamite on December 17, 2025 where Jon Moxley won.
With this win, Jon Moxley has now won 4 singles matches in a row.

Middle of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Orange Cassidy and Jay White
1-0 (Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 45.5%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Daniel Garcia and Wheeler YUTA
0-4 (Last 5: 0-5)
Win Probability: 54.5%

Milestone: This match was the 75th match for Jay White in AEW.
Underdog win! Orange Cassidy and Jay White won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 45.5%!
This was the 1st time Orange Cassidy and Jay White have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Daniel Garcia and Wheeler YUTA in AEW.

Men's Singles

Swerve Strickland
10-3 (Overall: 16-4, Last 5: 4-1)

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Tome Filip
0-1 (Overall: 0-2, Last 5: 0-2)

With this win, Swerve Strickland has now won 3 singles matches in a row.
With this win, Swerve Strickland has a win percentage at or above 75% (10-3) in 2026 singles matches.

Men's Tag Team

Kevin Knight and Kyle Fletcher
5-1 (Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 48.3%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Adam Copeland and Will Ospreay
0-1 (Last 5: 0-1)
Win Probability: 51.7%

Underdog win! Kevin Knight and Kyle Fletcher won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 48.3%!
This was the 1st time Kevin Knight and Kyle Fletcher have competed in a 2-on-2 tag team match against Adam Copeland and Will Ospreay in AEW.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Tag Team

Mark Davis and Jake Doyle
4-1 (Last 5: 4-1)

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Nick Jackson and Matt Jackson
The Young Bucks • The Elite • SuperKliq
14-6 (Last 5: 3-2)

This was the 1st opening tag match of 2026 that Mark Davis and Jake Doyle have participated in.
With this win, Mark Davis and Jake Doyle have now won 2 tag matches in a row.
With this win, Mark Davis and Jake Doyle have a win percentage at or above 75% (4-1) in 2026 tag matches.

AEW Dynamite