NXT Results and Analysis | August 25, 2026

Top of the Card

Men's Singles

Rey Fenix
1-0 (Overall: 1-0, Last 5: 1-0)
Win Probability: 18.6%

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EK Prosper
5-2 (Overall: 7-3, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 81.4%

Impossible win! Rey Fenix won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 18.6%!
This was the 1st main event singles match of 2026 that Rey Fenix has participated in.
This was the 1st time Rey Fenix and EK Prosper have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.

Men's Four on Four Tag Team

Lexis King, Channing Lorenzo, Charlie Dempsey and Uriah Connors
(Combined Overall: 15-16, Last 5: 8-9)
Win Probability: 52.8%

━━━━━━━━━━┥ vs ┝━━━━━━━━━━

Noam Dar, Sean Legacy, Dorian Van Dux and Romeo Moreno
(Combined Overall: 10-18, Last 5: 6-13)
Win Probability: 47.2%

Prior to this match it had been 28 days since Channing Lorenzo, 91 days since Charlie Dempsey, 28 days since Uriah Connors, 35 days since Noam Dar, 42 days since Sean Legacy and 42 days since Dorian Van Dux had competed in a NXT match.

Middle of the Card

Women's Singles
NXT Women's North American Championship

Kali Armstrong
3-1 (Overall: 4-1, Last 5: 4-1)
Win Probability: 36.5%

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Zaria
Champion
6-4-2 (Overall: 8-7-2, Last 5: 3-1-1)
Win Probability: 63.5%

This was the 5th NXT Women's North American title defense by Zaria since winning the championship at Stand and Deliver on April 19, 2025 493 days ago.
This was the 1st time Kali Armstrong has challenged for the NXT Women's North American championship.
Upset win! Kali Armstrong won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 36.5%!
Over the past year, Zaria has lost the 2nd most number of matches in NXT Women's singles competition (7 losses).
This was the 1st time Kali Armstrong and Zaria have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
With this win, Kali Armstrong has a win percentage at or above 75% (3-1) in 2026 singles matches.

Men's Singles

Keanu Carver
9-4 (Overall: 9-4, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 50.0%

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Kam Hendrix
1-3 (Overall: 1-3, Last 5: 1-3)
Win Probability: 50.0%

Over the past year, Keanu Carver has won the 2nd most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (9 wins).
This was the 1st time Keanu Carver and Kam Hendrix have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT.
Prior to this match it had been 21 days since Keanu Carver had competed in a NXT match.

Bottom of the Card

Men's Singles
Weaponized Steel Cage

Saquon Shugars
2-2 (Overall: 3-7, Last 5: 2-3)
Win Probability: 29.0%

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Dion Lennox
3-6 (Overall: 5-9, Last 5: 3-2)
Win Probability: 71.0%

Improbable win! Saquon Shugars won the match with a Wrazzlin win probability of 29.0%!
Over the past year, Dion Lennox has lost the most number of matches in NXT Men's singles competition (8 losses).
This was the 2nd opening singles match of 2026 that Saquon Shugars has participated in.
This was the 3rd time Saquon Shugars and Dion Lennox have competed 1-on-1 in a singles match in NXT. Saquon Shugars leads the series 2-1. The most recent match was 14 days ago at NXT on August 11, 2026 where Dion Lennox won.
With this win, Saquon Shugars has a win percentage at or above 50% (2-2) in 2026 singles matches.

NXT